In one day I read two articles that struck me. On Sunday July 11th I came across an LA Time article headlined, “Unrecognizable.” Lake Mead, a lifeline for water in Los Angeles and the west, tips toward crisis. Five minutes after finishing “Unrecognizable” I stopped on a BBC article headlined, Virgin Galactic: Sir Richard Branson rockets to the edge of space.
The LA Times piece describes that the west is in such a destructive drought that Lake Mead’s coast line has become unrecognizable to those who have lived and recreated on the lake for decades. The water has been depleted by natural and human hands for decades and has now become so low, authorities are discussing the need to reduce water supplies to hundreds of thousands of people in the next few years. My feeble mind can not begin to comprehend the effect this will have on individual people let alone to the agricultural systems that have come (right or wrong) to rely on that water source.
Humans have been terraforming earth since civilization began. The complex terracing and drain systems the Nabataeans engineered so as to live and thrive in the deserts of Jordan, the ancient Egyptians and the utilization of the flooding of the Nile River, the use of dams to redirect waters all over the world. The Nabataeans, the Egyptians, the small individual farmers throughout the world were but the beginning. The US has mastered agriculture on an industrial scale. Not without its hiccups, or warnings depending on how you view it, the dust bowl anyone, anyone? We have rerouted entire rivers in the name of growing crops (or mining? Just saying not always as noble as growing food for the masses, humans have redirected rivers in the search for shiny little pieces of metal) According to the LA Time piece, by 2023 California had better be figuring out how to do without all that water the Colorado River has so generously supplied, as the supply is running out.
On to the BBC article. One easily chucked aside as a billionaire playing with his toys. I am all for space exploration. I moved from smoggy SoCal to Big Sky Country and often ponder that if I grew up under this sky, would I have become an Astronomer? The sky really is that magnificent here. For anyone that was following the civilian space race, Sir Richard Branson vs. Amazon’s founder Jeff Bezos, who would build and get into (kind of-Sir Richard Branson skirted the edge of space) space first? Yes, if we could harness this type of air travel we could get around our small planet much faster. And whomever “commercializes” that type of travel first will amass millions of dollars (more if you are already a billionaire).
Lake Mead, arguably one of the most important water sources for America’s west, is drying up, but its ok billionaires are skirting space in a new “airplane”. Famine and drought have already ravaged North Africa, causing hundreds of thousands of people to flee their homes out of desperation.
Coming across these two articles side by side struck me as, wrong. Not wrong, like stealing a candy bar or punching your little brother wrong, but wrong in that these two things seem so starkly different. The second emotion I had towards these two examples of humanity, Fermi had it right – civilizations will accidentally self destruct destroying the planet they inhabit before they posses the ability to truly escape to a neighboring space rock.
The 50’s through to the late 70’s early 80’s scientists thought it would be humans that destroyed the planet with nuclear bombs. Can’t blame them for thinking this, we were in the heart of a Cold War between two trigger happy nuclear powers. (MAD = Mutually Assured Destruction…) Then one power collapsed, and Chernobyl introduced the idea that humans could accidentally destroy the planet with nuclear power. Then Fukushima happened, the idea that a natural disaster combined with humans playing with fire could cause the destruction of the earth. Reality is far more deceptive. The industrial revolution began dumping millions of tons of CO2 and Methane into a closed system. Earth’s atmosphere, though massive, is a closed system. There is a tipping point, scientists think we are reaching that point. The drying up of the West, massive fires in the Amazon Rainforest, the droughts and famines of North Africa, the dislocation of coastal communities as the oceans rise, these are just the precursors. Instead of humans deliberately killing off the planet, or an accidental nuclear meltdown doing it for us, now we see that humans simply, being human are the destructive force behind the slow death of a planet.
Fermi asked the question, where is everyone? Humans can attempt to break this apparent universal cycle of lost civilizations or succumb to it.